Premier League
Match Analysis
Fakel
FC Orenburg
Fakel
L
L
L
L
D
W
FC Orenburg
L
L
W
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| FC Orenburg | Fakel | 1 - 0 | March 15, 2025 |
| Fakel | FC Orenburg | 1 - 0 | August 24, 2024 |
| Fakel | FC Orenburg | 0 - 0 | March 31, 2024 |
| FC Orenburg | Fakel | 1 - 2 | October 21, 2023 |
| FC Orenburg | Fakel | 0 - 0 | September 21, 2023 |
| Fakel | FC Orenburg | 0 - 1 | August 29, 2023 |
Fakel Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 26 | Home | Dynamo | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | FC Krasnodar | 3 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Makhachkala | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 15, 26 | Away | FC Rostov | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Away | Akron | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 7, 26 | Home | FC Rostov | 3 - 1 | Win |
FC Orenburg Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 5, 26 | Away | Spartak Moscow | 5 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Zenit | 0 - 3 | Loss |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | FC Rostov | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | CSKA Moscow | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 7, 26 | Away | Dynamo | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | Rubin | 1 - 2 | Win |
Premier League Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | FC Orenburg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1 | +1 | 3 |
| 14 | Fakel | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -1 | 0 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.1% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Fakel to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Fakel has a 35.34% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.70 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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