Fakel vs Makhachkala Saturday 25th July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Fakel Makhachkala

Fakel W W D W D D

Makhachkala L W L W W D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Fakel	Makhachkala	1 - 1	January 29, 2025
Makhachkala	Fakel	0 - 0	December 1, 2024
Fakel	Makhachkala	1 - 1	October 6, 2024
Fakel	Makhachkala	0 - 0	February 18, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 7, 26	Home	FC Rostov	3 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Volga Ulyanovsk	0 - 3	Win
May 8, 26	Home	Ska-khabarovsk	0 - 0	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Enisey	2 - 0	Win
Apr 27, 26	Away	Torpedo Moskva	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 22, 26	Home	Shinnik Yaroslavl	2 - 2	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 7, 26	Home	Gimnasia L.P.	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	Leningradets	3 - 0	Win
Jul 1, 26	Away	Zenit	2 - 0	Loss
May 23, 26	Home	Ural	2 - 0	Win
May 20, 26	Away	Ural	0 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Spartak Moscow	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Makhachkala	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Fakel	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.62% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Makhachkala has a 40.74% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.56 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 54.79% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.0% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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