Fatih Karagümrük vs Ümraniyespor Sunday 16th August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Fatih Karagümrük Ümraniyespor

Fatih Karagümrük W W W D L L

Ümraniyespor L L W L D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Fatih Karagümrük	Ümraniyespor	1 - 0	February 9, 2025
Ümraniyespor	Fatih Karagümrük	1 - 2	December 18, 2024
Ümraniyespor	Fatih Karagümrük	2 - 2	August 31, 2024
Ümraniyespor	Fatih Karagümrük	0 - 2	March 23, 2024
Fatih Karagümrük	Ümraniyespor	4 - 2	April 18, 2023
Ümraniyespor	Fatih Karagümrük	1 - 3	October 22, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Home	Alanyaspor	2 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Kocaelispor	0 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Home	Genclerbirligi	1 - 0	Win
Apr 27, 26	Away	Besiktas	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 18, 26	Home	Eyüpspor	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 12, 26	Away	Konyaspor	3 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 17, 26	Home	Galatasaray	1 - 5	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Keçiörengücü	1 - 4	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Adana Demirspor	1 - 3	Win
Apr 19, 26	Home	Van BB	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 13, 26	Away	Amed	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 8, 26	Home	Sakaryaspor	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Ümraniyespor	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	Fatih Karagümrük	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.7% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Fatih Karagümrük has a 52.99% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.90 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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