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July 30, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago
3 – 2
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Match Analysis

FC 10 Kosmos Dolgoprudny
Kosmos Dolgoprudny L L W W L W
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model rates these teams as closely matched overall, but gives FC 10 a slight edge in a home setting—though their poor recent form keeps the home-win probability below 50%. Kosmos Dolgoprudny's defensive struggles create an opening for goals, which is why the model leans toward both teams scoring; however, the closely matched quality and FC 10's current dip in form suggest a lower-scoring game overall, with the model favoring under 2.5 goals.

Kosmos Dolgoprudny Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Feb 20, 26 Away Spartak Kostroma 5 - 0 Loss
Sep 10, 25 Home Veles 1 - 4 Loss
Aug 20, 25 Home 2Drots 1 - 0 Win
Jan 25, 25 Away Chertanovo Moscow 0 - 2 Win
Sep 4, 24 Home Amkal 1 - 2 Loss
Aug 21, 24 Away Sakhalin 0 - 2 Win

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

FC 10 to win
This prediction indicates that FC 10 has a 46.72% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.42 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 54.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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