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Challenge League

Aug. 1, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

FC Aarau Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
FC Aarau L L D D D W
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy W L L W W W
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
FC Aarau Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3 - 0 April 22, 2026
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy FC Aarau 4 - 2 February 13, 2026
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy FC Aarau 1 - 2 October 17, 2025
FC Aarau Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 3 - 0 August 25, 2025
FC Aarau Stade Lausanne-Ouchy 2 - 2 April 4, 2025
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy FC Aarau 2 - 4 February 7, 2025

FC Aarau Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 10, 26 Away Austria Lustenau 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 30, 26 Home St. Gallen II 1 - 3 Loss
May 21, 26 Away Grasshoppers 1 - 1 Draw
May 18, 26 Home Grasshoppers 0 - 0 Draw
May 15, 26 Home Yverdon Sport 2 - 2 Draw
May 11, 26 Away FC Vaduz 1 - 2 Win

Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 11, 26 Away FC Zurich 1 - 2 Win
Jul 8, 26 Away Servette FC 2 - 0 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Away FC Luzern 3 - 2 Loss
May 15, 26 Home Neuchatel Xamax FC 2 - 1 Win
May 11, 26 Away Stade Nyonnais 1 - 3 Win
May 8, 26 Home Bellinzona 5 - 0 Win

Challenge League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
None Stade Lausanne-Ouchy None None None None None None None None
None FC Aarau None None None None None None None None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.63% likelihood that both FC Aarau and Stade Lausanne-Ouchy will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
FC Aarau to win
This prediction indicates that FC Aarau has a 53.48% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.53 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.37% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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