Primera División
Match Analysis
FC Cajamarca
Universitario
FC Cajamarca
W
L
L
D
D
D
Universitario
D
L
W
W
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts that Universitario will win with a 52% probability. This outlook is influenced by Universitario's clear quality gap over FC Cajamarca and their strong recent form, contrasted with Cajamarca's poor recent performance. Additionally, Universitario's recent attacking strength and higher volume of shooting chances support this prediction. The market odds also suggest a strong favor towards Universitario, aligning closely with the model's higher confidence in an away win.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Universitario | FC Cajamarca | 1 - 0 | March 1, 2026 |
FC Cajamarca Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | FBC Melgar | 2 - 4 | Win |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Sport Huancayo | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 27, 26 | Away | Deportivo Garcilaso | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Home | Juan Pablo II College | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Alianza Lima | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| May 24, 26 | Away | Alianza Atletico | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Universitario Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Sporting Cristal | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Away | Cienciano | 2 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Cusco | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | ADT | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Millonarios | 2 - 0 | Win |
| May 31, 26 | Home | Sport Huancayo | 2 - 1 | Win |
Primera División Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Universitario | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 29 | 20 | +9 | 36 |
| 15 | FC Cajamarca | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 30 | 36 | -6 | 21 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
Universitario to win
This prediction indicates that Universitario has a 52.33% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.50 %Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.12% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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