FC Cartagena vs Real Murcia Wednesday 07th October 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Primera División RFEF - Group 2

Oct. 7, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

FC Cartagena Real Murcia

FC Cartagena L D D W L W

Real Murcia W L W W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Real Murcia	FC Cartagena	1 - 2	February 22, 2026
FC Cartagena	Real Murcia	0 - 1	December 8, 2025
FC Cartagena	Real Murcia	3 - 1	August 5, 2023
FC Cartagena	Real Murcia	2 - 0	August 10, 2021

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 20, 26	Away	Zaragoza	1 - 0	Loss
Sep 12, 26	Away	Rayo Majadahonda	1 - 1	Draw
Sep 5, 26	Home	Gimnastic	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 29, 26	Away	Algeciras	1 - 3	Win
Aug 19, 26	Away	Elche II	2 - 0	Loss
Aug 12, 26	Home	Orihuela	3 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 19, 26	Home	Europa Fc	2 - 1	Win
Sep 13, 26	Away	Atlético Madrid II	4 - 0	Loss
Sep 6, 26	Home	Teruel	4 - 0	Win
Aug 29, 26	Away	Hércules	1 - 2	Win
Aug 8, 26	Away	Albacete	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 5, 26	Away	Cieza	1 - 4	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Real Murcia	4	3	0	1	8	6	+2	9
8	FC Cartagena	3	1	2	0	4	2	+2	5

This prediction suggests that there is a 55.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that FC Cartagena has a 42.4% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.33 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.5% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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