FC Fredericia vs HB Koge Saturday 25th July 2026 05:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FC Fredericia HB Koge

FC Fredericia W W W L D L

HB Koge L L L W D W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Fredericia	HB Koge	1 - 2	February 23, 2025
HB Koge	FC Fredericia	3 - 4	September 1, 2024
FC Fredericia	HB Koge	2 - 2	March 16, 2024
HB Koge	FC Fredericia	0 - 0	August 27, 2023
HB Koge	FC Fredericia	2 - 2	May 13, 2023
FC Fredericia	HB Koge	6 - 1	April 16, 2023

FC Fredericia Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Holstein Kiel	1 - 3	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Silkeborg	1 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Silkeborg	4 - 1	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Vejle	2 - 0	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	FC Copenhagen	3 - 3	Draw
Apr 26, 26	Home	Odense	0 - 2	Loss

HB Koge Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 3, 26	Away	Hvidovre	1 - 0	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Aalborg	1 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Hobro	0 - 1	Loss
May 16, 26	Away	Middelfart	0 - 4	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Aarhus Fremad	0 - 0	Draw
May 1, 26	Home	B 93	3 - 2	Win

1. Division Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	HB Koge	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	FC Fredericia	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.62% likelihood that both FC Fredericia and HB Koge will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

FC Fredericia to win

This prediction indicates that FC Fredericia has a 62.01% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 20.29 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.26% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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