FC Krasnodar vs Fakel Sunday 02nd August 2026 06:15 PM football predictions.

FC Krasnodar Fakel

FC Krasnodar D W D W L D

Fakel L D W W D W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Krasnodar	Fakel	5 - 0	March 30, 2025
Fakel	FC Krasnodar	0 - 0	August 4, 2024
FC Krasnodar	Fakel	2 - 0	April 19, 2024
Fakel	FC Krasnodar	0 - 0	August 25, 2023
Fakel	FC Krasnodar	3 - 3	November 5, 2022
FC Krasnodar	Fakel	2 - 2	July 17, 2022

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Home	FC Rostov	3 - 3	Draw
Jun 25, 26	Home	PSK Dinskaya	5 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Away	Spartak Moscow	1 - 1	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Torpedo Moskva	3 - 0	Win
May 11, 26	Away	Dynamo	2 - 1	Loss
May 7, 26	Home	Dynamo	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 15, 26	Away	FC Rostov	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Akron	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 7, 26	Home	FC Rostov	3 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Volga Ulyanovsk	0 - 3	Win
May 8, 26	Home	Ska-khabarovsk	0 - 0	Draw
May 3, 26	Home	Enisey	2 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Fakel	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	FC Krasnodar	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.12% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that FC Krasnodar has a 78.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 11.89 %

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