FC Lugano vs Dukagjini Thursday 23rd July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

FC Lugano Dukagjini

FC Lugano W D W W D L

Dukagjini D W W D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 7, 26	Away	Memmingen	0 - 4	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Rapperswil	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Home	Neuchatel Xamax FC	2 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Home	FC Basel 1893	4 - 0	Win
May 14, 26	Away	FC Sion	2 - 2	Draw
May 10, 26	Home	FC ST. Gallen	1 - 2	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 4, 26	Away	Lokomotiv Sofia	3 - 3	Draw
Jan 26, 26	Away	Veres Rivne	0 - 1	Win
Jan 31, 25	Away	Levski Krumovgrad	0 - 1	Win
Jan 29, 25	Away	Aktobe	1 - 1	Draw
Jan 25, 25	Away	Wisla Krakow	4 - 1	Loss
Jan 29, 24	Away	Oleksandria	1 - 0	Loss

This prediction indicates that FC Lugano has a 62.19% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.26 %

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