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Sept. 16, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Match Analysis

FC Lugano FC ST. Gallen
FC Lugano W D W D W W
FC ST. Gallen L L L W D W
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
FC Lugano FC ST. Gallen 1 - 2 May 10, 2026
FC ST. Gallen FC Lugano 1 - 1 March 17, 2026
FC Lugano FC ST. Gallen 1 - 3 November 26, 2025
FC ST. Gallen FC Lugano 1 - 0 September 13, 2025
FC Lugano FC ST. Gallen 1 - 1 April 13, 2025
FC ST. Gallen FC Lugano 2 - 1 February 5, 2025

FC Lugano Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Away FC Sion 1 - 2 Win
Aug 27, 26 Away Maccabi Tel Aviv 1 - 1 Draw
Aug 20, 26 Home Maccabi Tel Aviv 2 - 1 Win
Aug 13, 26 Away NSI Runavik 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 9, 26 Home FC Zurich 5 - 0 Win
Aug 6, 26 Home NSI Runavik 2 - 0 Win

FC ST. Gallen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Aug 30, 26 Home FC Thun 3 - 4 Loss
Aug 27, 26 Home FC Nordsjaelland 2 - 3 Loss
Aug 20, 26 Away FC Nordsjaelland 1 - 0 Loss
Aug 13, 26 Home Sheriff Tiraspol 5 - 1 Win
Aug 9, 26 Home FC Luzern 2 - 2 Draw
Aug 6, 26 Away Sheriff Tiraspol 1 - 3 Win

Super League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 FC Lugano 4 4 0 0 13 3 +10 12
4 FC ST. Gallen 4 2 1 1 10 9 +1 7

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.78% likelihood that both FC Lugano and FC ST. Gallen will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
FC Lugano to win
This prediction indicates that FC Lugano has a 52.12% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 25.60 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.81% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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