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Premier League

June 21, 2026 1 week, 1 day ago
2 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

FC Minsk ML Vitebsk
FC Minsk D L L D L W
ML Vitebsk L W D W W W
STRENGTH
POSSESSION
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
ML Vitebsk FC Minsk 4 - 1 October 19, 2025
FC Minsk ML Vitebsk 1 - 2 May 25, 2025

FC Minsk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 18, 26 Home Enisey 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Away Baranovichi 2 - 1 Loss
Jun 6, 26 Away Arsenal 3 - 1 Loss
May 29, 26 Home FC Isloch Minsk R. 1 - 1 Draw
May 23, 26 Away Torpedo Zhodino 3 - 0 Loss
May 15, 26 Home Belshina 5 - 1 Win

ML Vitebsk Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 13, 26 Home FC Vitebsk 1 - 2 Loss
May 30, 26 Away Neman 1 - 2 Win
May 22, 26 Home FC Gomel 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Away Arsenal 0 - 3 Win
May 10, 26 Home FC Dnepr Mogilev 5 - 1 Win
May 3, 26 Away Dinamo Minsk 2 - 3 Win

Premier League Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 ML Vitebsk 11 7 3 1 22 8 +14 24
8 FC Minsk 11 4 2 5 15 16 -1 14

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.2% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
ML Vitebsk to win
This prediction indicates that ML Vitebsk has a 63.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.76 %
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 50.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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