FC Minsk vs ML Vitebsk Sunday 21st June 2026 04:00 PM football predictions.

FC Minsk ML Vitebsk

FC Minsk D L L D L W

ML Vitebsk L W D W W W

STRENGTH

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
ML Vitebsk	FC Minsk	4 - 1	October 19, 2025
FC Minsk	ML Vitebsk	1 - 2	May 25, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 18, 26	Home	Enisey	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Away	Baranovichi	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 6, 26	Away	Arsenal	3 - 1	Loss
May 29, 26	Home	FC Isloch Minsk R.	1 - 1	Draw
May 23, 26	Away	Torpedo Zhodino	3 - 0	Loss
May 15, 26	Home	Belshina	5 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 13, 26	Home	FC Vitebsk	1 - 2	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Neman	1 - 2	Win
May 22, 26	Home	FC Gomel	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Away	Arsenal	0 - 3	Win
May 10, 26	Home	FC Dnepr Mogilev	5 - 1	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Dinamo Minsk	2 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	ML Vitebsk	11	7	3	1	22	8	+14	24
8	FC Minsk	11	4	2	5	15	16	-1	14

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.2% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that ML Vitebsk has a 63.49% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.76 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.23% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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