FC Orenburg vs FC Rostov Saturday 25th July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

FC Orenburg FC Rostov

FC Orenburg L W L L W L

FC Rostov L D L W W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Orenburg	FC Rostov	0 - 1	October 5, 2025
FC Orenburg	FC Rostov	1 - 2	March 8, 2025
FC Rostov	FC Orenburg	3 - 1	September 18, 2024
FC Orenburg	FC Rostov	0 - 1	August 28, 2024
FC Rostov	FC Orenburg	3 - 2	August 17, 2024
FC Rostov	FC Orenburg	2 - 1	April 29, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 7, 26	Away	Dynamo	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Away	Rubin	1 - 2	Win
Jun 25, 26	Home	FK Neftekhimik	0 - 1	Loss
Mar 4, 26	Away	Krylia Sovetov	2 - 0	Loss
Feb 20, 26	Home	Rubin	1 - 0	Win
Feb 13, 26	Home	Kairat Almaty	0 - 1	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 7, 26	Away	Fakel	3 - 1	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Home	Dinamo Stavropol	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Zenit	0 - 1	Loss
May 11, 26	Away	Akron	1 - 3	Win
May 2, 26	Away	Makhachkala	1 - 2	Win
Apr 25, 26	Home	Torpedo Moskva	0 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	FC Rostov	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	FC Orenburg	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.13% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that FC Rostov has a 35.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.25 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.36% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.04% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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