FC Porto vs Alverca Sunday 09th August 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

FC Porto Alverca

FC Porto W W L W W D

Alverca W W W W L D

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Porto	Alverca	1 - 0	May 2, 2026
Alverca	FC Porto	0 - 3	December 22, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Aston Villa	2 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Home	Santa Clara	1 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	AVS	3 - 1	Loss
May 2, 26	Home	Alverca	1 - 0	Win
Apr 26, 26	Away	Estrela	1 - 2	Win
Apr 22, 26	Home	Sporting CP	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 25, 26	Home	Mafra	1 - 0	Win
Jul 22, 26	Home	Estoril	2 - 0	Win
Jul 17, 26	Home	CF Os Belenenses	2 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Away	União de Leiria	0 - 1	Win
May 16, 26	Away	Famalicao	1 - 0	Loss
May 10, 26	Home	Estoril	1 - 1	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Alverca	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	FC Porto	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction suggests that there is a 58.39% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that FC Porto has a 74.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 15.02 %

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