FC Ryukyu vs Kitakyushu Saturday 08th August 2026 01:00 PM football predictions.

FC Ryukyu Kitakyushu

FC Ryukyu W D W D L W

Kitakyushu L W D L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FC Ryukyu	Kitakyushu	0 - 2	April 18, 2026
Kitakyushu	FC Ryukyu	1 - 0	March 29, 2026
Kitakyushu	FC Ryukyu	2 - 1	October 25, 2025
FC Ryukyu	Kitakyushu	0 - 1	May 17, 2025
FC Ryukyu	Kitakyushu	0 - 1	July 27, 2024
Kitakyushu	FC Ryukyu	2 - 0	April 10, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 17, 26	Home	Urawa	5 - 4	Win
Jun 7, 26	Away	Fukushima United	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Away	Imabari	1 - 2	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Sagan Tosu	2 - 2	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Gainare Tottori	1 - 3	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	Roasso Kumamoto	0 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Yokohama FC	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	Avispa Fukuoka	1 - 2	Win
Jun 7, 26	Away	Tochigi SC	1 - 1	Draw
May 31, 26	Away	Kamatamare Sanuki	3 - 1	Loss
May 24, 26	Home	Kagoshima United	1 - 5	Loss
May 17, 26	Away	Biwako Shiga	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	Kitakyushu	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	FC Ryukyu	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

This prediction indicates that Kitakyushu has a 36.79% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 27.48 %

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