FC Seoul vs Incheon United Sunday 05th July 2026 01:30 PM football predictions.

FC Seoul Incheon United

FC Seoul W W L D L W

Incheon United W L W D L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Incheon United	FC Seoul	1 - 2	February 28, 2026
Incheon United	FC Seoul	0 - 1	July 27, 2024
Incheon United	FC Seoul	1 - 2	May 11, 2024
FC Seoul	Incheon United	0 - 0	March 10, 2024
FC Seoul	Incheon United	0 - 1	July 22, 2023
Incheon United	FC Seoul	1 - 1	June 7, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Away	Daejeon Citizen	1 - 2	Win
May 12, 26	Away	Gwangju FC	0 - 1	Win
May 9, 26	Away	Jeju United FC	2 - 1	Loss
May 5, 26	Home	FC Anyang	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	2 - 3	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Away	Gangwon FC	1 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Home	Gwangju FC	4 - 0	Win
May 12, 26	Home	Pohang Steelers	0 - 1	Loss
May 9, 26	Away	Gimcheon Sangmu FC	0 - 3	Win
May 5, 26	Away	Daejeon Citizen	0 - 0	Draw
May 2, 26	Home	Gangwon FC	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Jeju United FC	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	FC Seoul	15	10	2	3	27	12	+15	32
6	Incheon United	15	6	3	6	21	17	+4	21

This prediction indicates that FC Seoul has a 37.61% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.54 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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