FC ST. Gallen vs Benfica Thursday 23rd July 2026 08:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FC ST. Gallen Benfica

FC ST. Gallen W W D W W L

Benfica W D D W W W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

FC ST. Gallen Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 1, 26	Away	FC Winterthur	0 - 1	Win
Jun 27, 26	Home	SCR Altach	3 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Home	FC Thun	1 - 1	Draw
May 14, 26	Away	FC Basel 1893	1 - 3	Win
May 10, 26	Away	FC Lugano	1 - 2	Win
May 3, 26	Home	FC Sion	0 - 3	Loss

Benfica Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 16, 26	Away	Estoril	1 - 3	Win
May 11, 26	Home	SC Braga	2 - 2	Draw
May 2, 26	Away	Famalicao	2 - 2	Draw
Apr 25, 26	Home	Moreirense	4 - 1	Win
Apr 19, 26	Away	Sporting CP	1 - 2	Win
Apr 12, 26	Home	Nacional	2 - 0	Win

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.33% likelihood that both FC ST. Gallen and Benfica will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Benfica to win

This prediction indicates that Benfica has a 59.69% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 19.94 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.39% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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