FC St. Pauli vs SpVgg Greuther Fürth Sunday 09th August 2026 02:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FC St. Pauli SpVgg Greuther Fürth

FC St. Pauli L L W W W L

SpVgg Greuther Fürth L L L L W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	FC St. Pauli	3 - 1	July 19, 2024
FC St. Pauli	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	3 - 2	February 3, 2024
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	FC St. Pauli	0 - 0	August 19, 2023
FC St. Pauli	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2 - 1	March 11, 2023
SpVgg Greuther Fürth	FC St. Pauli	2 - 2	September 3, 2022
FC St. Pauli	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	2 - 1	April 25, 2021

FC St. Pauli Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 24, 26	Away	Bournemouth	4 - 1	Loss
Jul 19, 26	Away	HNK Gorica	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Away	SV Babelsberg 03	1 - 4	Win
Jul 4, 26	Away	Kickers Emden	1 - 3	Win
Jun 30, 26	Away	Altona 93	2 - 6	Win
May 16, 26	Home	VfL Wolfsburg	1 - 3	Loss

SpVgg Greuther Fürth Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Home	FC Zurich	2 - 3	Loss
Jul 11, 26	Home	Eintracht Bamberg	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 8, 26	Home	Eltersdorf	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Away	Bayreuth	1 - 0	Loss
May 26, 26	Home	Rot-Weiß Essen	2 - 0	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Rot-Weiß Essen	1 - 0	Loss

2. Bundesliga Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
None	SpVgg Greuther Fürth	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None
None	FC St. Pauli	None	None	None	None	None	None	None	None

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.3% likelihood that both FC St. Pauli and SpVgg Greuther Fürth will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

FC St. Pauli to win

This prediction indicates that FC St. Pauli has a 59.53% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.81 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 53.14% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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