FC Thun vs SV Elversberg Saturday 11th July 2026 01:30 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FC Thun SV Elversberg

FC Thun D L L L L W

SV Elversberg W L W D W L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

FC Thun Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Away	FC ST. Gallen	1 - 1	Draw
May 14, 26	Home	BSC Young Boys	3 - 8	Loss
May 10, 26	Away	FC Sion	2 - 0	Loss
May 2, 26	Away	FC Basel 1893	3 - 1	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	FC Lugano	0 - 1	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Home	FC Basel 1893	3 - 1	Win

SV Elversberg Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
May 17, 26	Home	Preußen Münster	3 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Fortuna Dusseldorf	3 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	SC Paderborn 07	5 - 1	Win
Apr 25, 26	Away	SV Darmstadt 98	3 - 3	Draw
Apr 17, 26	Home	Karlsruher SC	3 - 0	Win
Apr 12, 26	Home	FC Schalke 04	1 - 2	Loss

Friendlies Clubs Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
594	FC Thun	2	2	0	0	11	1	+10	6
678	SV Elversberg	3	2	0	1	11	10	+1	6

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.87% likelihood that both FC Thun and SV Elversberg will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

FC Thun to win or Draw

This prediction indicates that FC Thun has a 34.62% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.33 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 62.45% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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