FC Tulsa vs Monterey Bay Thursday 18th June 2026 03:30 AM football predictions.

Match Analysis

FC Tulsa Monterey Bay

FC Tulsa L D W W W D

Monterey Bay W W W L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Monterey Bay	FC Tulsa	1 - 2	May 3, 2026
Monterey Bay	FC Tulsa	2 - 3	August 7, 2025
FC Tulsa	Monterey Bay	2 - 1	July 17, 2025
FC Tulsa	Monterey Bay	2 - 1	October 27, 2024
Monterey Bay	FC Tulsa	0 - 0	July 14, 2024
Monterey Bay	FC Tulsa	0 - 0	June 1, 2023

FC Tulsa Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 13, 26	Away	Charleston Battery	5 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Las Vegas Lights	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Hartford Athletic	2 - 0	Win
May 3, 26	Away	Monterey Bay	1 - 2	Win
Apr 30, 26	Away	El Paso Locomotive	1 - 4	Win
Apr 19, 26	Away	Oakland Roots	1 - 1	Draw

Monterey Bay Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 11, 26	Home	Sporting JAX	2 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Home	Loudoun United	4 - 1	Win
May 24, 26	Home	Birmingham Legion	2 - 0	Win
May 8, 26	Away	Lexington	3 - 1	Loss
May 3, 26	Home	FC Tulsa	1 - 2	Loss
Apr 18, 26	Away	Colorado Springs	4 - 1	Loss

USL Championship Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
15	FC Tulsa	11	4	4	3	14	14	0	16
22	Monterey Bay	12	3	2	7	13	20	-7	11

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 50.32% likelihood that both FC Tulsa and Monterey Bay will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Correct Prediction! ✅

FC Tulsa to win

This prediction indicates that FC Tulsa has a 45.13% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.88 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 51.01% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Sure Tips

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