FC Tulsa vs Sacramento Republic Thursday 06th August 2026 03:30 AM football predictions.

FC Tulsa Sacramento Republic

FC Tulsa W L W L D W

Sacramento Republic D W L W L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Sacramento Republic	FC Tulsa	2 - 0	March 8, 2026
Sacramento Republic	FC Tulsa	0 - 1	June 8, 2025
FC Tulsa	Sacramento Republic	1 - 0	March 29, 2025
FC Tulsa	Sacramento Republic	0 - 0	June 23, 2024
Sacramento Republic	FC Tulsa	1 - 1	April 14, 2024
FC Tulsa	Sacramento Republic	1 - 1	April 29, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 19, 26	Home	El Paso Locomotive	1 - 0	Win
Jun 21, 26	Home	Colorado Springs	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 18, 26	Home	Monterey Bay	2 - 0	Win
Jun 13, 26	Away	Charleston Battery	5 - 1	Loss
May 31, 26	Away	Las Vegas Lights	0 - 0	Draw
May 23, 26	Home	Hartford Athletic	2 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 18, 26	Away	Charleston Battery	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 9, 26	Home	Rhode Island	2 - 1	Win
Jun 21, 26	Home	New Mexico United	0 - 1	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Colorado Springs	0 - 1	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Phoenix Rising	2 - 0	Loss
May 24, 26	Away	San Antonio	2 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Sacramento Republic	14	5	5	4	16	14	+2	20
16	FC Tulsa	13	5	4	4	17	16	+1	19

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.1% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that FC Tulsa has a 38.47% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.34 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.93% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.31% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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