Fenix vs Atenas Sunday 26th July 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Fenix Atenas

Fenix L W L D D W

Atenas L D W W W L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Atenas	Fenix	1 - 4	April 27, 2026
Fenix	Atenas	1 - 2	October 26, 2025
Atenas	Fenix	1 - 0	August 3, 2025
Fenix	Atenas	2 - 1	October 21, 2018
Atenas	Fenix	3 - 1	April 22, 2018
Fenix	Atenas	3 - 2	April 11, 2015

Fenix Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 13, 26	Away	Paysandu	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 5, 26	Home	Sportivo Huracan	2 - 0	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Uruguay Montevideo	3 - 2	Loss
Jun 20, 26	Home	Oriental	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Away	Colón	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 6, 26	Home	CA River Plate	3 - 1	Win

Atenas Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 12, 26	Home	Rentistas	1 - 3	Loss
Jul 6, 26	Away	Miramar	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Home	Tacuarembo	2 - 0	Win
Jun 20, 26	Away	Plaza Colonia	1 - 2	Win
Jun 14, 26	Home	La Luz	4 - 0	Win
Jun 7, 26	Away	Cerrito	2 - 1	Loss

Segunda División Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Fenix	17	7	6	4	28	19	+9	27
6	Atenas	16	7	2	7	23	22	+1	23

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.32% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Fenix to win

This prediction indicates that Fenix has a 45.8% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.48 %

Under 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 52.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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