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Primera Nacional

July 5, 2026 5 days, 21 hours from now VS

Match Analysis

Ferro Carril Oeste San Telmo
Ferro Carril Oeste W W W D W W
San Telmo W D D L L D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
San Telmo Ferro Carril Oeste 0 - 2 February 14, 2026
San Telmo Ferro Carril Oeste 2 - 0 July 3, 2022
Ferro Carril Oeste San Telmo 6 - 0 October 27, 2021
San Telmo Ferro Carril Oeste 1 - 0 June 27, 2021

Ferro Carril Oeste Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 21, 26 Home Deportivo Moron 1 - 0 Win
Jun 14, 26 Home Acassuso 2 - 1 Win
Jun 7, 26 Away Chaco For Ever 1 - 2 Win
May 30, 26 Away Racing Cordoba 0 - 0 Draw
May 24, 26 Home Central Norte 1 - 0 Win
May 17, 26 Away Deportivo Madryn 0 - 1 Win

San Telmo Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Home Racing Cordoba 2 - 0 Win
Jun 14, 26 Away Central Norte 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 7, 26 Home Deportivo Madryn 0 - 0 Draw
May 30, 26 Away Defensores De Belgrano 1 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Home Ciudad de Bolívar 0 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Away Almirante Brown 0 - 0 Draw

Primera Nacional Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
3 Ferro Carril Oeste 18 10 4 4 20 13 +7 34
26 San Telmo 18 4 8 6 14 16 -2 20

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 62.15% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Ferro Carril Oeste will score 0 goals, and San Telmo will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 62.43% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 69.15% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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