Ferroviária vs Caxias Sunday 05th July 2026 02:30 AM football predictions.

Ferroviária Caxias

Ferroviária L W W D W W

Caxias D L W D W D

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Caxias	Ferroviária	0 - 0	June 16, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 27, 26	Away	AO Itabaiana	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Home	Inter De Limeira	2 - 0	Win
Jun 15, 26	Home	Barra	1 - 0	Win
May 31, 26	Away	Santa Cruz	1 - 1	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	Amazonas	1 - 2	Win
May 17, 26	Home	Brusque	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Home	Maringá	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Away	Guarani Campinas	2 - 1	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Ituano	2 - 1	Win
May 23, 26	Away	Maranhão	0 - 0	Draw
May 17, 26	Home	Paysandu	2 - 0	Win
May 10, 26	Away	Barra	0 - 0	Draw

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Ferroviária	12	5	4	3	12	10	+2	19
10	Caxias	11	4	4	3	11	9	+2	16

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.51% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Ferroviária will score 0 goals, and Caxias will score 0 goals in the football match.

This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.89% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 66.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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