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Serie D logo

Serie D

June 28, 2026 1 day, 1 hour ago
2 – 0
Full Time

Match Analysis

Ferroviario Central SC
Ferroviario D W D W W D
Central SC D W L D D L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Central SC Ferroviario 1 - 1 June 21, 2026
Ferroviario Central SC 0 - 0 July 27, 2025
Central SC Ferroviario 2 - 1 April 20, 2025

Ferroviario Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 21, 26 Away Central SC 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Home Fluminense PI 1 - 0 Win
Jun 1, 26 Away Tirol/CEFAT 0 - 0 Draw
May 23, 26 Home Altos 3 - 1 Win
May 17, 26 Home Uniclinic Atletico Clube 2 - 0 Win
May 11, 26 Away Piauí 1 - 1 Draw

Central SC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 21, 26 Home Ferroviario 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 14, 26 Home Laguna 2 - 1 Win
May 29, 26 Away America-RN 1 - 0 Loss
May 23, 26 Away Sousa 0 - 0 Draw
May 17, 26 Home Maguary PE 0 - 0 Draw
May 10, 26 Home ABC 0 - 1 Loss

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
12 Ferroviario 11 6 4 1 16 8 +8 22
53 Central SC 11 3 5 3 9 8 +1 14

Predictions

Correct Prediction! ✅

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 55.59% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Correct Score 0 - 0
This prediction indicates that Ferroviario will score 0 goals, and Central SC will score 0 goals in the football match.
Match Result (1X2) - Draw
This prediction indicates that the football match is poised to end in a draw.
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

Correct Prediction! ✅

Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 65.02% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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