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Serie D logo

Serie D

July 25, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Ferroviario Goiatuba EC
Ferroviario W D W D W D
Goiatuba EC W L W D W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Ferroviario Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 12, 26 Home Imperatriz 3 - 0 Win
Jul 4, 26 Away Imperatriz 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 28, 26 Home Central SC 2 - 0 Win
Jun 21, 26 Away Central SC 1 - 1 Draw
Jun 13, 26 Home Fluminense PI 1 - 0 Win
Jun 1, 26 Away Tirol/CEFAT 0 - 0 Draw

Goiatuba EC Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 12, 26 Away Manauara 1 - 2 Win
Jul 4, 26 Home Manauara 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Home Brasiliense 1 - 0 Win
Jun 21, 26 Away Brasiliense 0 - 0 Draw
Jun 7, 26 Home CEOV Operário 1 - 0 Win
May 30, 26 Away Ceilândia 1 - 1 Draw

Serie D Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Ferroviario 14 8 5 1 22 9 +13 29
13 Goiatuba EC 14 7 5 2 16 9 +7 26

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 54.36% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Ferroviario to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Ferroviario has a 41.25% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.77 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.78% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.51% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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