Ferroviária vs Paysandu Sunday 13th September 2026 10:00 PM football predictions.

Serie C

Sept. 13, 2026 1 week, 3 days from now VS

Ferroviária Paysandu

Ferroviária W L W D D W

Paysandu L W L W L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Ferroviária	Paysandu	4 - 0	August 17, 2026
Ferroviária	Paysandu	2 - 2	October 20, 2025
Paysandu	Ferroviária	2 - 1	June 30, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 29, 26	Home	Confiança	1 - 0	Win
Aug 23, 26	Away	Ypiranga-RS	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 17, 26	Home	Paysandu	4 - 0	Win
Aug 8, 26	Away	Figueirense	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Home	Maranhão	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 12, 26	Away	Ituano	1 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 29, 26	Home	Maringá	0 - 1	Loss
Aug 22, 26	Away	Ituano	0 - 1	Win
Aug 17, 26	Away	Ferroviária	4 - 0	Loss
Aug 10, 26	Home	Confiança	2 - 1	Win
Jul 26, 26	Away	Amazonas	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Home	Guarani Campinas	3 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Paysandu	18	9	2	7	26	26	0	29
8	Ferroviária	18	7	6	5	21	15	+6	27

This prediction suggests that there is a 50.59% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Ferroviária has a 51.76% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.86 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.29% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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