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Serie C

Aug. 18, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Ferroviária Paysandu
Ferroviária D W L L W W
Paysandu L W L L W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Ferroviária Paysandu 2 - 2 October 20, 2025
Paysandu Ferroviária 2 - 1 June 30, 2025

Ferroviária Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 25, 26 Home Maranhão 0 - 0 Draw
Jul 12, 26 Away Ituano 1 - 3 Win
Jul 4, 26 Home Caxias 0 - 1 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Away AO Itabaiana 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Home Inter De Limeira 2 - 0 Win
Jun 15, 26 Home Barra 1 - 0 Win

Paysandu Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jul 26, 26 Away Amazonas 2 - 1 Loss
Jul 12, 26 Home Guarani Campinas 3 - 2 Win
Jul 5, 26 Away Ypiranga-RS 1 - 0 Loss
Jun 27, 26 Home Santa Cruz 1 - 3 Loss
Jun 21, 26 Away Maranhão 0 - 1 Win
Jun 14, 26 Home Inter De Limeira 1 - 2 Loss

Serie C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Ferroviária 15 6 5 4 15 12 +3 23
7 Paysandu 15 7 2 6 23 21 +2 23

Predictions

Ferroviária to win
This prediction indicates that Ferroviária has a 49.67% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.02 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.17% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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