Finn Harps vs Cork City Friday 31st July 2026 09:45 PM football predictions.

Finn Harps Cork City

Finn Harps L W D L L L

Cork City L L W W W W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Cork City	Finn Harps	4 - 0	May 29, 2026
Finn Harps	Cork City	0 - 0	April 3, 2026
Cork City	Finn Harps	2 - 2	September 20, 2024
Cork City	Finn Harps	1 - 0	July 12, 2024
Finn Harps	Cork City	0 - 2	April 26, 2024
Finn Harps	Cork City	1 - 1	February 23, 2024

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 10, 26	Home	Treaty United	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Home	Wexford	1 - 0	Win
Jun 26, 26	Away	Athlone Town	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 19, 26	Away	Cobh Ramblers	3 - 1	Loss
Jun 12, 26	Home	UCD	0 - 5	Loss
May 29, 26	Away	Cork City	4 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 14, 26	Home	Cardiff	1 - 6	Loss
Jul 10, 26	Home	Longford Town	3 - 4	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Away	Cobh Ramblers	0 - 1	Win
Jun 26, 26	Home	Bray Wanderers	2 - 0	Win
Jun 19, 26	Home	Treaty United	4 - 0	Win
Jun 12, 26	Away	Wexford	0 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
1	Cork City	22	17	3	2	43	11	+32	54
9	Finn Harps	22	5	7	10	20	37	-17	22

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.23% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Cork City has a 68.9% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 16.80 %

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