Super Liga
Match Analysis
FK Crvena Zvezda
Cukaricki
FK Crvena Zvezda
W
L
W
L
W
W
Cukaricki
W
D
W
W
L
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
Historically, FK Crvena Zvezda have dominated their encounters with Cukaricki, often producing matches with plenty of goals. The model predicts a home win with a 77% probability, reflecting the clear quality gap favoring Crvena Zvezda, despite Cukaricki’s strong recent form and rest advantage. The market odds for the home win are very short, indicating strong public confidence as well, which aligns closely with the model’s high probability. Additionally, the model sees a strong chance of an over 2.5 goals outcome, also in line with the odds and the recent goal-scoring trends in this matchup.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Cukaricki | FK Crvena Zvezda | 1 - 2 | May 4, 2026 |
| Cukaricki | FK Crvena Zvezda | 1 - 3 | February 1, 2026 |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | Cukaricki | 3 - 0 | December 4, 2025 |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | Cukaricki | 5 - 2 | December 22, 2024 |
| Cukaricki | FK Crvena Zvezda | 1 - 4 | August 15, 2024 |
| FK Crvena Zvezda | Cukaricki | 4 - 1 | May 25, 2024 |
FK Crvena Zvezda Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 20, 26 | Home | Plzen | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 11, 26 | Home | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Novi Pazar | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Hapoel Beer Sheva | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Larne | 5 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Home | Vojvodina | 3 - 1 | Win |
Cukaricki Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | OFK Beograd | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Mladost Lucani | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Radnicki 1923 | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Radnicki NIS | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 19, 26 | Home | IMT Novi Beograd | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Celje | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Super Liga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cukaricki | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 3 | +6 | 10 |
| 3 | FK Crvena Zvezda | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | +9 | 9 |
Predictions
Correct Prediction! ✅
FK Crvena Zvezda to win
This prediction indicates that FK Crvena Zvezda has a 77.06% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 12.83 %Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 68.48% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Correct Prediction! ✅
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 71.73% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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