FK Neftekhimik vs PFC Sochi Wednesday 19th August 2026 06:00 PM football predictions.

FK Neftekhimik PFC Sochi

FK Neftekhimik W L W L D W

PFC Sochi L W L D L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FK Neftekhimik	PFC Sochi	1 - 1	May 10, 2025
PFC Sochi	FK Neftekhimik	2 - 0	February 8, 2025
PFC Sochi	FK Neftekhimik	3 - 2	November 3, 2024
PFC Sochi	FK Neftekhimik	3 - 0	January 22, 2023

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Home	Tekstilshchik	1 - 0	Win
Jul 25, 26	Away	Volga Ulyanovsk	2 - 0	Loss
Jul 19, 26	Away	Arsenal Tula	0 - 1	Win
Jul 11, 26	Home	Veles	0 - 1	Loss
Jul 4, 26	Home	KAMAZ	3 - 3	Draw
Jul 1, 26	Away	KAMAZ	2 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Aug 1, 26	Away	Leningradets	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 26, 26	Home	Arsenal Tula	5 - 0	Win
Jul 19, 26	Home	Spartak Kostroma	0 - 2	Loss
Jul 12, 26	Away	Shinnik Yaroslavl	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 3, 26	Home	Torpedo Moskva	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 30, 26	Home	Ska-khabarovsk	4 - 2	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
10	FK Neftekhimik	4	2	0	2	2	3	-1	6
13	PFC Sochi	4	1	1	2	8	6	+2	4

This prediction indicates that PFC Sochi has a 37.85% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.63 %

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