Flora Tallinn vs Kuressaare Sunday 16th August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Flora Tallinn Kuressaare

Flora Tallinn L W L D L W

Kuressaare D L L L D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Kuressaare	Flora Tallinn	0 - 3	July 2, 2026
Flora Tallinn	Kuressaare	2 - 1	April 7, 2026
Flora Tallinn	Kuressaare	2 - 0	November 1, 2025
Kuressaare	Flora Tallinn	1 - 2	August 24, 2025
Kuressaare	Flora Tallinn	1 - 3	May 27, 2025
Flora Tallinn	Kuressaare	5 - 0	March 29, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 30, 26	Away	The New Saints	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 23, 26	Home	The New Saints	1 - 0	Win
Jul 17, 26	Home	Nõmme United	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 14, 26	Away	Saburtalo	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 8, 26	Home	Saburtalo	2 - 3	Loss
Jul 2, 26	Away	Kuressaare	0 - 3	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 19, 26	Home	Kalju Nomme	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 11, 26	Away	Nõmme United	3 - 2	Loss
Jul 2, 26	Home	Flora Tallinn	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 26, 26	Away	Vaprus	1 - 0	Loss
Jun 16, 26	Home	Trans Narva	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 13, 26	Home	Laagri	2 - 3	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
2	Flora Tallinn	19	12	0	7	39	21	+18	36
10	Kuressaare	20	3	3	14	17	35	-18	12

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.56% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Flora Tallinn has a 76.2% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 13.45 %

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