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Serie C logo

Serie C

June 15, 2026 2 weeks ago
1 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Floresta Figueirense
Floresta W L W D L W
Figueirense W D L W L L
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Figueirense Floresta 1 - 0 August 23, 2025
Floresta Figueirense 0 - 2 May 20, 2024
Floresta Figueirense 1 - 1 July 24, 2023
Floresta Figueirense 0 - 0 April 24, 2022

Floresta Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 30, 26 Home Confiança 1 - 0 Win
May 25, 26 Away Paysandu 2 - 1 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Amazonas 3 - 2 Win
May 9, 26 Away AO Itabaiana 0 - 0 Draw
May 4, 26 Home MaranhĂŁo 1 - 2 Loss
Apr 25, 26 Away Botafogo PB 1 - 2 Win

Figueirense Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 31, 26 Home Paysandu 2 - 1 Win
May 24, 26 Away Confiança 0 - 0 Draw
May 16, 26 Home AO Itabaiana 0 - 1 Loss
May 10, 26 Away Amazonas 0 - 1 Win
May 4, 26 Home Barra 0 - 3 Loss
Apr 26, 26 Away Anápolis 3 - 1 Loss

Serie C Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
6 Floresta 9 4 3 2 11 9 +2 15
15 Figueirense 9 3 2 4 8 13 -5 11

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 59.5% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.
Floresta to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Floresta has a 43.78% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 34.78 %
Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.35% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 67.71% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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