Floresta vs Maringá Tuesday 28th July 2026 02:00 AM football predictions.

Floresta Maringá

Floresta D D W L L W

Maringá W W D D D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Maringá	Floresta	1 - 1	August 3, 2025

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 11, 26	Away	Caxias	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 4, 26	Away	Guarani Campinas	0 - 0	Draw
Jun 27, 26	Home	Barra	2 - 1	Win
Jun 21, 26	Away	Brusque	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Home	Figueirense	1 - 2	Loss
May 30, 26	Home	Confiança	1 - 0	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 12, 26	Away	Anápolis	0 - 1	Win
Jul 4, 26	Home	Volta Redonda	4 - 0	Win
Jun 27, 26	Away	Inter De Limeira	2 - 2	Draw
Jun 21, 26	Away	Caxias	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 15, 26	Home	Maranhão	0 - 0	Draw
May 30, 26	Away	Botafogo PB	2 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Floresta	14	5	5	4	15	14	+1	20
8	Maringá	13	5	4	4	26	24	+2	19

This prediction suggests that there is a 52.06% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Maringá has a 35.28% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.52 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 55.06% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.18% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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