Carioca U20
Match Analysis
Fluminense U20
Botafogo U20
Fluminense U20
W
W
D
W
W
L
Botafogo U20
W
W
D
D
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Why this prediction? AI insight
The model predicts a home win for Fluminense U20 with a 37% probability. The model sees Fluminense's strong recent form as a key factor, despite Botafogo U20 having a modest quality edge. There is no readily available market odds comparison for this outcome. The model also suggests it is unlikely both teams will score, with only a 48% chance for that to happen.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fluminense U20 | Botafogo U20 | 1 - 0 | August 16, 2025 |
| Fluminense U20 | Botafogo U20 | 1 - 1 | July 27, 2024 |
Fluminense U20 Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Volta Redonda U20 | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Bangu U20 | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 22, 26 | Away | Madureira U20 | 2 - 2 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Boavista U20 | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Nova Iguaçu U20 | 1 - 3 | Win |
| Nov 9, 25 | Away | Vasco da Gama U20 | 2 - 0 | Loss |
Botafogo U20 Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 4, 26 | Home | Sampaio Correa FE U20 | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 27, 26 | Home | Volta Redonda U20 | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 14, 26 | Home | Madureira U20 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 8, 26 | Away | Boavista U20 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Nov 22, 25 | Away | Vasco da Gama U20 | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Nov 15, 25 | Home | Vasco da Gama U20 | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Carioca U20 Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Fluminense U20 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | +7 | 13 |
| 5 | Botafogo U20 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 10 | 3 | +7 | 8 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 51.77% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Fluminense U20 to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Fluminense U20 has a 37.09% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.24 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 58.92% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
Subscribe to unlock scoreline predictions
View plans
Comments