Serie C - Girone C
Match Analysis
Foggia
Sorrento
Foggia
L
L
D
W
L
L
Sorrento
W
W
W
W
D
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sorrento | Foggia | 2 - 1 | January 10, 2026 |
| Foggia | Sorrento | 1 - 0 | August 30, 2025 |
| Foggia | Sorrento | 2 - 1 | March 9, 2025 |
| Sorrento | Foggia | 2 - 1 | October 27, 2024 |
| Sorrento | Foggia | 1 - 1 | March 10, 2024 |
| Foggia | Sorrento | 1 - 1 | November 4, 2023 |
Foggia Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Away | SS Monopoli | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Sep 6, 26 | Home | Audace Cerignola | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Salernitana | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 24, 26 | Away | Crotone | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Apr 26, 26 | Home | Salernitana | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Apr 19, 26 | Away | SS Monopoli | 1 - 0 | Loss |
Sorrento Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 12, 26 | Home | AZ Picerno | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Sep 5, 26 | Away | Giugliano | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Crotone | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 24, 26 | Away | Salernitana | 1 - 2 | Win |
| Apr 26, 26 | Away | AZ Picerno | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Apr 19, 26 | Home | Atalanta II | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Serie C - Girone C Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Sorrento | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 9 |
| 11 | Foggia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | -1 | 4 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 57.24% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Sorrento to win
This prediction indicates that Sorrento has a 41.17% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 29.59 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.13% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 63.56% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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