Folgore Caratese vs Desenzano Calvina Saturday 03rd October 2026 09:30 PM football predictions.

Serie C - Girone A

Oct. 3, 2026 2 weeks from now VS

Folgore Caratese Desenzano Calvina

Folgore Caratese D L L D L D

Desenzano Calvina L W L D D L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 17, 26	Away	Pergolettese	0 - 0	Draw
Sep 13, 26	Home	Alcione	2 - 3	Loss
Sep 7, 26	Away	PRO Vercelli	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 31, 26	Away	Novara	2 - 2	Draw
Aug 24, 26	Home	Dolomiti Bellunesi	1 - 2	Loss
Jul 31, 26	Away	Sassuolo	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 17, 26	Home	Lecco	1 - 3	Loss
Sep 13, 26	Away	Arzignano Valchiampo	1 - 2	Win
Sep 6, 26	Away	Union Brescia	1 - 0	Loss
Aug 31, 26	Home	Trento	0 - 0	Draw
Aug 23, 26	Away	PRO Vercelli	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 26, 23	Away	Pergolettese	3 - 1	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Desenzano Calvina	4	1	2	1	3	3	0	5
18	Folgore Caratese	4	0	1	3	5	8	-3	1

This prediction suggests that there is a 56.17% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Folgore Caratese has a 38.45% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.72 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 61.21% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.19% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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