Folgore Caratese vs Dolomiti Bellunesi Sunday 23rd August 2026 07:00 PM football predictions.

Serie C - Girone A

Folgore Caratese

Aug. 24, 2026 4 weeks, 1 day ago

1 – 2

Full Time

Dolomiti Bellunesi

Match Analysis

Folgore Caratese Dolomiti Bellunesi

Folgore Caratese D D L L

Dolomiti Bellunesi D L L D L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Why this prediction? AI insight

The model predicts a home win for Folgore Caratese with a 49% probability. The main reason for this is the clear quality gap favoring the home side, which gives them an edge despite both teams showing poor recent form. Although Dolomiti Bellunesi have a rest advantage and have had defensive issues recently, these factors aren't enough to outweigh the overall quality difference. The model also sees the match ending with few goals, expecting neither team to score and the total goals to be under both 1.5 and 2.5.

Folgore Caratese Form (Last 4 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 31, 26	Away	Sassuolo	0 - 0	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Away	Arezzo	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 8, 22	Home	Renate	1 - 2	Loss
Aug 21, 21	Home	USD Casatese	1 - 2	Loss

Dolomiti Bellunesi Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Home	Virtus Verona	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 25, 26	Away	Verona	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 19, 26	Away	Venezia	4 - 2	Loss
Apr 25, 26	Home	Trento	0 - 0	Draw
Apr 19, 26	Away	Union Brescia	2 - 0	Loss
Apr 13, 26	Home	Pro Patria	2 - 4	Loss

Serie C - Girone A Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
12	Dolomiti Bellunesi	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
12	Folgore Caratese	0	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - No

This prediction suggests that there is a 57.82% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

Folgore Caratese to win

This prediction indicates that Folgore Caratese has a 48.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.56 %

Under 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 64.11% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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Odds Comparison

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