Fortaleza EC vs Athletic Club Monday 28th September 2026 12:30 AM football predictions.

Serie B

Sept. 28, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Fortaleza EC Athletic Club

Fortaleza EC W W D W D D

Athletic Club L W L L L W

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Athletic Club	Fortaleza EC	1 - 0	May 30, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 9, 26	Home	Avai	1 - 0	Win
Sep 5, 26	Away	Goias	0 - 1	Win
Aug 31, 26	Home	Operario-PR	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 23, 26	Away	Criciuma	0 - 2	Win
Aug 19, 26	Home	São Bernardo	1 - 1	Draw
Aug 15, 26	Away	Juventude	0 - 0	Draw

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Sep 8, 26	Away	Cuiaba	3 - 0	Loss
Sep 4, 26	Home	Vila Nova	5 - 0	Win
Aug 28, 26	Away	Nautico Recife	2 - 1	Loss
Aug 24, 26	Home	Novorizontino	1 - 4	Loss
Aug 20, 26	Home	CRB	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 16, 26	Away	America Mineiro	1 - 3	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
4	Fortaleza EC	27	13	8	6	30	22	+8	47
12	Athletic Club	27	9	10	8	31	30	+1	37

This prediction suggests that there is a 53.24% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Fortaleza EC has a 55.41% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 26.84 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.84% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.08% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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