Serie B
Match Analysis
Fortaleza EC
Ceara
Fortaleza EC
W
D
D
D
W
L
Ceara
W
L
L
W
W
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ceara | Fortaleza EC | 2 - 1 | May 17, 2026 |
| Ceara | Fortaleza EC | 2 - 0 | April 9, 2026 |
| Ceara | Fortaleza EC | 1 - 1 | November 6, 2025 |
| Fortaleza EC | Ceara | 0 - 1 | July 13, 2025 |
| Fortaleza EC | Ceara | 0 - 1 | March 21, 2024 |
| Fortaleza EC | Ceara | 2 - 3 | March 30, 2023 |
Fortaleza EC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 26 | Away | Criciuma | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Aug 19, 26 | Home | São Bernardo | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 15, 26 | Away | Juventude | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 9, 26 | Away | Cuiaba | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 29, 26 | Home | Botafogo SP | 1 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Away | Vila Nova | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Ceara Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 26 | Home | Londrina | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Aug 19, 26 | Away | Nautico Recife | 1 - 0 | Loss |
| Aug 15, 26 | Home | Cuiaba | 1 - 3 | Loss |
| Aug 7, 26 | Home | Ponte Preta | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | São Bernardo | 3 - 4 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | CRB | 0 - 1 | Loss |
Serie B Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Fortaleza EC | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 27 | 21 | +6 | 40 |
| 17 | Ceara | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 25 | 30 | -5 | 28 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 53.87% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Fortaleza EC to win
This prediction indicates that Fortaleza EC has a 53.83% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.40 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.34% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 60.07% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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