Fortaleza EC vs Ponte Preta Friday 03rd July 2026 03:00 AM football predictions.

Fortaleza EC Ponte Preta

Fortaleza EC D L W L L L

Ponte Preta L L L L D L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Fortaleza EC	Ponte Preta	1 - 1	October 26, 2018
Ponte Preta	Fortaleza EC	2 - 0	July 8, 2018

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Away	CRB	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 16, 26	Home	America Mineiro	0 - 3	Loss
Jun 9, 26	Away	Nautico Recife	0 - 1	Win
Jun 6, 26	Away	Vitoria	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 3, 26	Home	Vitoria	1 - 2	Loss
May 30, 26	Away	Athletic Club	1 - 0	Loss

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Away	Atletico Goianiense	2 - 0	Loss
Jun 22, 26	Home	Novorizontino	0 - 2	Loss
Jun 14, 26	Away	Juventude	3 - 0	Loss
Jun 9, 26	Home	Cuiaba	1 - 2	Loss
Jun 1, 26	Home	Botafogo SP	0 - 0	Draw
May 24, 26	Away	CRB	4 - 2	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
8	Fortaleza EC	14	6	4	4	16	15	+1	22
19	Ponte Preta	14	2	2	10	10	27	-17	8

This prediction suggests that there is a 57.49% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Fortaleza EC has a 43.94% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 33.04 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 57.4% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 58.32% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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