Fortaleza EC vs São Bernardo Thursday 20th August 2026 01:30 AM football predictions.

Serie B

Aug. 20, 2026 1 week, 6 days from now VS

Fortaleza EC São Bernardo

Fortaleza EC W L W L W W

São Bernardo L L D D L L

STRENGTH

SHOT CONVERSION

SHOTS ON TARGET

POSSESSION

SAVE RATE

ATTACKING POTENTIAL

DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
São Bernardo	Fortaleza EC	0 - 1	April 12, 2026

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 29, 26	Home	Botafogo SP	1 - 0	Win
Jul 22, 26	Away	Vila Nova	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 18, 26	Home	Novorizontino	1 - 0	Win
Jul 12, 26	Away	Atletico Goianiense	1 - 0	Loss
Jul 3, 26	Home	Ponte Preta	2 - 0	Win
Jun 28, 26	Home	Sport Recife	2 - 1	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jul 26, 26	Home	Ceara	3 - 4	Loss
Jul 23, 26	Away	Athletic Club	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 17, 26	Home	Avai	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 12, 26	Home	Cuiaba	2 - 2	Draw
Jul 6, 26	Away	Vila Nova	2 - 1	Loss
Jun 27, 26	Away	Criciuma	1 - 0	Loss

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
7	Fortaleza EC	19	9	4	6	22	19	+3	31
12	São Bernardo	20	7	6	7	28	23	+5	27

This prediction suggests that there is a 51.54% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that Fortaleza EC has a 50.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 31.47 %

This prediction indicates that there is a 56.24% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.

This prediction indicates that there is a 60.82% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

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