Primera A
Match Analysis
Fortaleza FC
Junior
Fortaleza FC
L
D
L
W
L
D
Junior
D
L
D
L
D
L
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Junior | Fortaleza FC | 2 - 1 | March 16, 2026 |
| Fortaleza FC | Junior | 1 - 1 | November 8, 2025 |
| Junior | Fortaleza FC | 2 - 1 | May 16, 2025 |
| Junior | Fortaleza FC | 2 - 1 | August 17, 2024 |
| Fortaleza FC | Junior | 2 - 0 | February 11, 2024 |
| Junior | Fortaleza FC | 1 - 2 | September 11, 2016 |
Fortaleza FC Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2, 26 | Home | Once Caldas | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | Chico | 0 - 0 | Draw |
| Aug 23, 26 | Home | Atletico Nacional | 1 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 8, 26 | Home | Cucuta | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Aug 4, 26 | Away | Llaneros | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Aug 1, 26 | Home | Deportivo Pereira | 0 - 0 | Draw |
Junior Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 26 | Home | Santa Fe | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 26, 26 | Away | America de Cali | 4 - 2 | Loss |
| Aug 24, 26 | Home | Once Caldas | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Aug 2, 26 | Home | Millonarios | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 29, 26 | Away | Barranquilla | 3 - 3 | Draw |
| Jul 26, 26 | Away | Deportes Tolima | 2 - 1 | Loss |
Primera A Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Junior | 30 | 13 | 7 | 10 | 43 | 37 | +6 | 46 |
| 15 | Fortaleza FC | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 28 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - No
This prediction suggests that there is a 52.14% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.Junior to win or Draw
This prediction indicates that Junior has a 35.91% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.73 %Under 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.54% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than two goals scored.Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.27% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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