Eredivisie
Match Analysis
Fortuna Sittard
AZ Alkmaar
Fortuna Sittard
W
L
L
W
W
L
AZ Alkmaar
W
W
D
L
W
D
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| AZ Alkmaar | Fortuna Sittard | 2 - 0 | April 4, 2026 |
| Fortuna Sittard | AZ Alkmaar | 4 - 3 | December 21, 2025 |
| AZ Alkmaar | Fortuna Sittard | 1 - 0 | February 23, 2025 |
| Fortuna Sittard | AZ Alkmaar | 1 - 0 | October 6, 2024 |
| Fortuna Sittard | AZ Alkmaar | 1 - 2 | February 17, 2024 |
| AZ Alkmaar | Fortuna Sittard | 4 - 0 | October 1, 2023 |
Fortuna Sittard Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 31, 26 | Home | Apoel Nicosia | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 25, 26 | Away | Metz | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 17, 26 | Away | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Genk | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 3, 26 | Home | Lierse Kempenzonen | 1 - 0 | Win |
| May 17, 26 | Away | Utrecht | 2 - 0 | Loss |
AZ Alkmaar Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 25, 26 | Home | Olympiakos Piraeus | 3 - 2 | Win |
| Jul 22, 26 | Home | Genk | 4 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 18, 26 | Away | Zulte Waregem | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jul 15, 26 | Home | Anderlecht | 0 - 1 | Loss |
| Jul 11, 26 | Home | Almere City FC | 2 - 1 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Gent | 3 - 3 | Draw |
Eredivisie Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | AZ Alkmaar | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 1 | Fortuna Sittard | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Predictions
AZ Alkmaar to win
This prediction indicates that AZ Alkmaar has a 59.11% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 21.26 %Most Likely Scorelines
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