Fram Reykjavik vs Thor Akureyri Sunday 12th July 2026 09:00 PM football predictions.

Match Analysis

Fram Reykjavik Thor Akureyri

Fram Reykjavik L W W W D W

Thor Akureyri L D L L L L

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

HEAD TO HEAD

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
Thor Akureyri	Fram Reykjavik	1 - 0	April 23, 2026
Thor Akureyri	Fram Reykjavik	0 - 2	July 27, 2021
Fram Reykjavik	Thor Akureyri	4 - 1	May 21, 2021
Thor Akureyri	Fram Reykjavik	0 - 2	September 26, 2020
Fram Reykjavik	Thor Akureyri	6 - 1	July 26, 2020
Fram Reykjavik	Thor Akureyri	3 - 0	September 14, 2019

Fram Reykjavik Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 21, 26	Home	Vikingur Reykjavik	0 - 5	Loss
Jun 15, 26	Away	KA Akureyri	3 - 4	Win
May 29, 26	Home	Breidablik	4 - 3	Win
May 22, 26	Away	Stjarnan	0 - 1	Win
May 17, 26	Away	KR Reykjavik	2 - 2	Draw
May 8, 26	Home	Valur Reykjavik	3 - 2	Win

Thor Akureyri Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jun 28, 26	Home	Valur Reykjavik	2 - 4	Loss
Jun 21, 26	Away	FH hafnarfjordur	1 - 1	Draw
Jun 14, 26	Home	IBV Vestmannaeyjar	1 - 4	Loss
May 31, 26	Home	Stjarnan	1 - 3	Loss
May 22, 26	Away	Keflavik	1 - 0	Loss
May 17, 26	Home	IA Akranes	1 - 2	Loss

Úrvalsdeild Table

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
3	Fram Reykjavik	11	7	2	2	29	24	+5	23
12	Thor Akureyri	11	2	1	8	9	28	-19	7

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes

This prediction indicates that there is a 59.77% likelihood that both Fram Reykjavik and Thor Akureyri will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.

Fram Reykjavik to win

This prediction indicates that Fram Reykjavik has a 45.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 28.02 %

Over 1.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 70.05% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.

Over 2.5 goals

This prediction indicates that there is a 68.6% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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