UEFA Nations League
Match Analysis
France
Italy
France
L
L
W
W
W
W
Italy
W
W
W
L
W
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Italy | France | 1 - 3 | November 17, 2024 |
| France | Italy | 1 - 3 | September 6, 2024 |
| France | Italy | 3 - 1 | June 1, 2018 |
| France | Italy | 0 - 2 | June 17, 2008 |
France Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 18, 26 | Home | England | 4 - 6 | Loss |
| Jul 14, 26 | Home | Spain | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jul 9, 26 | Home | Morocco | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jul 4, 26 | Away | Paraguay | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 30, 26 | Home | Sweden | 3 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 26, 26 | Away | Norway | 1 - 4 | Win |
Italy Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jun 7, 26 | Away | Greece | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 3, 26 | Away | Luxembourg | 0 - 1 | Win |
| Mar 26, 26 | Home | Northern Ireland | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Nov 16, 25 | Home | Norway | 1 - 4 | Loss |
| Nov 13, 25 | Away | Moldova | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Oct 14, 25 | Home | Israel | 3 - 0 | Win |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 59.94% likelihood that both France and Italy will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.France to win
This prediction indicates that France has a 51.07% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 24.28 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 66.52% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 61.63% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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