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Eliteserien

July 11, 2026 1 week, 4 days from now VS

Match Analysis

Fredrikstad Lillestrom
Fredrikstad D W D W L L
Lillestrom L L L L W L
STRENGTH
SHOT CONVERSION
SHOTS ON TARGET
POSSESSION
SAVE RATE
ATTACKING POTENTIAL
DEFENSIVE POTENTIAL
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Lillestrom Fredrikstad 2 - 2 January 31, 2026
Fredrikstad Lillestrom 1 - 0 March 22, 2025
Fredrikstad Lillestrom 2 - 1 October 20, 2024
Lillestrom Fredrikstad 0 - 3 May 20, 2024
Lillestrom Fredrikstad 2 - 1 January 27, 2024
Fredrikstad Lillestrom 1 - 1 March 4, 2022

Fredrikstad Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 20, 26 Home Ham-Kam 1 - 1 Draw
May 29, 26 Home Start 2 - 1 Win
May 25, 26 Away Sandefjord 1 - 1 Draw
May 16, 26 Home Ham-Kam 2 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Away Sarpsborg 08 FF 2 - 1 Loss
May 2, 26 Away Brann 3 - 1 Loss

Lillestrom Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
Jun 26, 26 Home Degerfors IF 2 - 3 Loss
Jun 20, 26 Away FC Midtjylland 1 - 0 Loss
May 25, 26 Away Ham-Kam 2 - 0 Loss
May 20, 26 Home Kristiansund BK 1 - 2 Loss
May 16, 26 Home Sandefjord 3 - 1 Win
May 10, 26 Away Rosenborg 2 - 0 Loss

Eliteserien Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
4 Lillestrom 11 6 1 4 17 11 +6 19
10 Fredrikstad 11 4 2 5 15 20 -5 14

Predictions

Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 52.75% likelihood that both Fredrikstad and Lillestrom will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.
Lillestrom to win
This prediction indicates that Lillestrom has a 43.51% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 30.89 %
Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 53.67% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 56.41% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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