Virsliga
Match Analysis
FS Jelgava
Rīgas FS
FS Jelgava
L
W
W
W
L
D
Rīgas FS
D
W
W
W
L
W
What do these metrics mean?
- Strength
- Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
- Shot Conversion
- Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Shots on Target
- Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
- Possession
- Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
- Save Rate
- Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
- Attacking Potential
- Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
- Defensive Potential
- Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
- Expected Goals
- Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
- Head to Head
- Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
- Wins the Game
- Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.
Head to Head History
| Home Team | Away Team | Score | Date |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rīgas FS | FS Jelgava | 4 - 0 | May 21, 2026 |
| FS Jelgava | Rīgas FS | 0 - 1 | April 8, 2026 |
| Rīgas FS | FS Jelgava | 1 - 4 | September 13, 2025 |
| FS Jelgava | Rīgas FS | 0 - 1 | June 26, 2025 |
| FS Jelgava | Rīgas FS | 2 - 2 | May 5, 2025 |
| Rīgas FS | FS Jelgava | 1 - 0 | March 11, 2025 |
FS Jelgava Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 3, 26 | Away | Riga | 3 - 0 | Loss |
| Jun 29, 26 | Home | Grobiņa | 2 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 25, 26 | Away | Super Nova | 1 - 5 | Win |
| Jun 21, 26 | Home | Tukums | 4 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 17, 26 | Home | Ogre United | 0 - 2 | Loss |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Auda | 1 - 1 | Draw |
Rīgas FS Form (Last 6 Matches)
| Date | Venue | Opponent | Score | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jul 4, 26 | Home | Auda | 1 - 1 | Draw |
| Jun 30, 26 | Home | BFC Daugavpils | 3 - 1 | Win |
| Jun 26, 26 | Away | FK Liepaja | 0 - 2 | Win |
| Jun 22, 26 | Home | Ogre United | 6 - 0 | Win |
| Jun 17, 26 | Away | Riga | 2 - 1 | Loss |
| Jun 13, 26 | Away | Grobiņa | 1 - 3 | Win |
Virsliga Table
| Pos | Team | MP | W | D | L | GF | GA | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Rīgas FS | 21 | 18 | 1 | 2 | 53 | 15 | +38 | 55 |
| 5 | FS Jelgava | 22 | 6 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 38 | -14 | 25 |
Predictions
Both Teams To Score - Yes
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.16% likelihood that both FS Jelgava and Rīgas FS will score at least one goal each during the course of the match.Rīgas FS to win
This prediction indicates that Rīgas FS has a 67.95% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 18.71 %Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 55.88% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.Over 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 57.66% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be three or more goals scored.Most Likely Scorelines
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