FSV Mainz 05 II vs Progres Niederkorn Saturday 04th July 2026 03:00 PM football predictions.

FSV Mainz 05 II Progres Niederkorn

FSV Mainz 05 II D W L D W W

Progres Niederkorn L L D L L W

STRENGTH

EXPECTED GOALS

WINS THE GAME

What do these metrics mean?

Strength: Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion: Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target: Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession: Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate: Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential: Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential: Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals: Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head: Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game: Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Home Team	Away Team	Score	Date
FSV Mainz 05 II	Progres Niederkorn	0 - 3	August 8, 2020

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Feb 14, 26	Home	FC Astoria Walldorf	1 - 1	Draw
Feb 11, 26	Home	Darmstadt 98 II	6 - 0	Win
Feb 7, 26	Away	Kickers Offenbach	1 - 0	Loss
Jan 31, 26	Home	TuS Koblenz	0 - 0	Draw
Jan 24, 26	Home	FC Emmelshausen-Karbach	5 - 1	Win
Jan 17, 26	Home	Mechtersheim	3 - 2	Win

Date	Venue	Opponent	Score	Result
Jan 31, 26	Away	Eintracht Trier	2 - 1	Loss
Jul 26, 25	Home	Sochaux	0 - 3	Loss
Jul 19, 25	Away	Thionville Lusitanos	1 - 1	Draw
Jul 9, 25	Home	Mamer	1 - 2	Loss
Feb 1, 25	Home	FC 08 Homburg	0 - 2	Loss
Aug 1, 24	Home	Djurgardens IF	1 - 0	Win

Pos	Team	MP	W	D	L	GF	GA	GD	Pts
216	FSV Mainz 05 II	6	3	2	1	15	5	+10	11
2311	Progres Niederkorn	1	0	0	1	1	2	-1	0

This prediction suggests that there is a 54.72% likelihood that only one team is likely to score throughout the entire match.

This prediction indicates that FSV Mainz 05 II has a 64.03% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 22.11 %

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