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III Liga - Group 3 logo

III Liga - Group 3

May 30, 2026 4 weeks, 2 days ago
1 – 2
Full Time

Match Analysis

Górnik Polkowice Lechia Zielona Góra
Górnik Polkowice L W W W W W
Lechia Zielona Góra W W W W W D
STRENGTH
EXPECTED GOALS
HEAD TO HEAD
WINS THE GAME
What do these metrics mean?
Strength
Recent form points from the last several matches. Higher means a better recent run of results.
Shot Conversion
Goals scored divided by total shots taken (rolling window of past matches). Measures finishing efficiency — only available when historical shot data exists.
Shots on Target
Proportion of shots that were on target. Reflects shot accuracy and discipline — only available when historical shot data exists.
Possession
Average ball possession percentage over recent matches. Indicates territorial dominance — only available when historical stats exist.
Save Rate
Goalkeeper saves divided by shots faced. Higher means the keeper is denying more chances — only available when historical stats exist.
Attacking Potential
Composite index from goals, expected goals and shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked for a team.
Defensive Potential
Composite index from goals conceded, saves and blocked shots (weighted). Only available when full shot stats are tracked.
Expected Goals
Poisson-estimated goals each team is likely to score, derived from season attack/defence averages and opponent strength.
Head to Head
Historical win share across all previous meetings between these two teams (home wins | draws | away wins).
Wins the Game
Machine learning win probability — the model's confidence that each team wins this match outright.

Head to Head History

Home Team Away Team Score Date
Lechia Zielona Góra Górnik Polkowice 5 - 0 November 15, 2025
Lechia Zielona Góra Górnik Polkowice 0 - 1 May 10, 2025
Górnik Polkowice Lechia Zielona Góra 2 - 1 October 12, 2024
Górnik Polkowice Lechia Zielona Góra 2 - 0 May 18, 2024
Lechia Zielona Góra Górnik Polkowice 0 - 1 October 29, 2023

Górnik Polkowice Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 22, 26 Away Górnik Zabrze II 6 - 0 Loss
May 17, 26 Home Kluczbork 3 - 1 Win
May 13, 26 Away Pawłowice Śląskie 0 - 7 Win
May 9, 26 Home Stal Jasień 3 - 0 Win
May 1, 26 Home Ślęza Wrocław 2 - 1 Win
Apr 25, 26 Away Carina Gubin 1 - 2 Win

Lechia Zielona Góra Form (Last 6 Matches)

Date Venue Opponent Score Result
May 23, 26 Home Karkonosze Jelenia Góra 4 - 0 Win
May 16, 26 Home Starowice Dolne 5 - 1 Win
May 13, 26 Away Polonia Nysa 0 - 1 Win
May 9, 26 Home Pawłowice Śląskie 1 - 0 Win
May 1, 26 Away Górnik Zabrze II 0 - 2 Win
Apr 25, 26 Home Sparta Katowice 0 - 0 Draw

III Liga - Group 3 Table

Pos Team MP W D L GF GA GD Pts
1 Lechia Zielona Góra 33 20 10 3 75 16 +59 70
2 Górnik Polkowice 33 20 7 6 63 40 +23 67

Predictions

Górnik Polkowice to win
This prediction indicates that Górnik Polkowice has a 45.16% likelihood to win the match. The likelihood for the match to end as a draw is 32.84 %

Correct Prediction! ✅

Over 1.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 71.7% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be two or more goals scored.
Under 2.5 goals
This prediction indicates that there is a 51.98% likelihood that by the end of the football match, there will be less than three goals scored.

Most Likely Scorelines

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